According to statistics released by The Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA), the national average price of homes sold via Canadian MLS® Systems in March was $340,920. This is the second highest national average price on record, just $300 below the peak reached last October. Compared to March 2009, the national average home price was up 17.6 per cent. As with sales activity, the increase was smaller than those recorded over the past five months, and year-over-year gains are expected to become further subdued as the year progresses.

As far as the Edmonton region is concerned, housing figures released by the REALTORS® Association of Edmonton for March and the first quarter of 2010 show that resale housing prices are up, as well as listings and sales.

“There is consumer confidence in this market and both buyers and sellers appear eager to enter the housing market,” said Larry Westergard, president of the REALTORS® Association of Edmonton. “Prices are up about 10% from a year ago and sellers are eager to take advantage. Buyers are aware of higher mortgage rates ahead and are getting into the market before the rates rise.”

However, Alberta will not be influenced by the GST harmonization taking place in Ontario and BC so it may be spared from the sales slump that is expected in those two provinces during the second quarter.

The price trend is similar but less dramatic for the national weighted average price, which compensates for changes in provincial sales activity by taking into account provincial proportions of privately owned housing stock. It climbed 16 per cent on a year-over-year basis in March 2010.

The residential average price in Canada’s major markets climbed 19 per cent year-over-year to $373,835 in March. As with the national counterpart, the price trend is similar but less dramatic for the major market weighted average price, which rose 17 per cent from levels reported in March 2009.

There were 214,312 homes listed for sale on Boards’ MLS® Systems in Canada at the end of March 2010, a decline of nine per cent compared to the elevated levels of one year ago. This is the smallest year-over-year decline in active listings since June 2009.

The actual (not seasonally adjusted) number of months of inventory in March 2010 stood at 4.4 months. While well below where it stood one year ago (6.7 months), and down slightly from March 2008 (five months), months of inventory are higher compared to March from 2004 through 2007. The number of months of inventory is the number of months it would take to sell current inventories at the current rate of sales activity.

On a seasonally adjusted basis, months of inventory stood at 4.6 months in March. This was little changed from February, but stands above levels reported in the previous four months.

“The erosion of housing affordability is crimping activity in some of Canada’s priciest markets in the lower mainland of British Columbia,” said CREA Chief Economist Gregory Klump. “Higher mortgage interest rates and the rise in new listings may also soon reduce some of the urgency to purchase in Toronto. Sales activity in British Columbia and Ontario is expected to ease over the second half of 2010 once the HST comes into effect, pulling national activity lower. Rising supply and lower activity will take the steam out of the pricing environment following upbeat home sales this spring.”

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Tags: CREA, Home prices, housing market, mortgage interest rates