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Below are the statistical tables from the October 2010 Issue of CAAMP Stats.
To find out more about the Canadian Association of Accredited Mortgage Professionals (CAAMP), please visit their website at www.caamp.org
Bank of Canada Interest Rate
| July 20, 2010 | 0.75 % |
| September 8, 2010 | 1.00 % |
| October 19, 2010 | Next meeting date |
Source: Bank of Canada
Bank Prime Lending Rate
| July 21, 2010 | 2.75 % |
| September 9, 2010 | 3.00 % |
| October 20, 2010 | Next meeting date |
Source: Bank of Canada
Conventional Mortgage – 5 Year Rate*
| August 23, 2010 | 5.49 % |
| August 30, 2010 | 5.39 % |
| September 15, 2010 | 5.39 % |
Source: Bank of Canada
*Determinant for high ratio mortgage variable qualifying rate
US Federal Reserve Board Discount Rate
| August 10, 2010 | 0.00 % – 0.25 % |
| September 21, 2010 | 0.00 % – 0.25 % |
| November 3, 2010 | Next Meeting date |
Exchange Rate $CDN($US)
| September 1, 2010 | 0.9506 |
| September 17, 2010 | 0.9696 |
| October 4, 2010 | 0.9785 |
Source: Bank of Canada
Government of Canada Bonds
| Bond Type | August 25, 2010 | September 15, 2010 | September 29, 2010 |
| 1 year Treasury Bill | 0.98% | 1.30% | 1.27% |
| 3 year Benchmark Bond Yield |
1.53% | 1.72% | 1.58% |
| 5 year Benchmark Bond Yield |
2.08% | 2.25% | 2.01% |
| 10 year Benchmark Bond Yield |
2.83% | 2.90% | 2.74% |
Source: Bank of Canada
Total New Housing Starts (Seasonally adjusted and annualized)
| Province | June 2010 |
June 2009 |
July 2010 |
July 2009 |
August 2010 |
August 2009 |
| Newfoundland/Labrador | 4,500 | 2,900 | 3,300 | 2,900 | 1,800 | 2,400 |
| PEI | 1,000 | 1,000 | 800 | 600 | 800 | 1,000 |
| Nova Scotia | 3,200 | 2,700 | 5,800 | 3,300 | 2,200 | 4,200 |
| New Brunswick | 4,700 | 3,300 | 6,100 | 3,800 | 4,000 | 3,700 |
| Quebec | 54,500 | 37,900 | 52,900 | 46,200 | 38,200 | 47,300 |
| Ontario | 56,100 | 45,800 | 53,200 | 39,100 | 59,400 | 44,200 |
| Manitoba | 8,100 | 5,000 | 9,700 | 4,000 | 4,000 | 5,000 |
| Saskatchewan | 6,200 | 5,100 | 5,300 | 3,600 | 6,100 | 5,100 |
| Alberta | 27,000 | 20,000 | 29,200 | 17,600 | 20,900 | 18,400 |
| British Columbia | 27,000 | 14,100 | 22,800 | 13,100 | 25,400 | 19,200 |
| CANADA | 192,300 | 137,800 | 189,100 | 134,200 | 162,800 | 150,500 |
Source: CMHC Housing Now – September 2010 and September 2009. This seasonally adjusted data goes through stages of revision at different times of the the year.
Average MLS® Resale Price for Local Markets
| City | August 2009 | August 2010 |
| Halifax | $231,203 | $254,298 |
| Saint John | $166,117 | $173,918 |
| Quebec | $220,760 | $239,688 |
| Montreal | $279,897 | $303,707 |
| Ottawa | $315,176 | $322,281 |
| Toronto | $387,899 | $410,995 |
| Hamilton/Burlington | $291,374 | $299,812 |
| Winnipeg | $207,389 | $222,597 |
| Saskatoon | $281,871 | $305,866 |
| Calgary | $388,725 | $385,712 |
| Edmonton | $318,321 | $326,550 |
| Vancouver | $608,032 | $680,782 |
| Victoria | $481,279 | $471,929 |
Source: Canadian Real Estate Association
Housing Affordability Index
Standard two-storey
| Average Price | Qualifying Income ($) | RBC Housing Affordability Measure | |||||
| Region | Q2 2010 ($) | Y/Y % ch. | Q2 2010 | Q2 2010 (%) | Q/Q Ppt. ch. | Y/Y Ppt. ch. | Avg. since ’85 (%) |
| Canada* | 374,200 | 10.1 | 86,600 | 48.9 | 2.1 | 4.3 | 43.3 |
| British Columbia | 625,400 | 12.0 | 130,100 | 71.2 | 2.5 | 8.3 | 54.0 |
| Alberta | 373,900 | 4.9 | 85,100 | 37.5 | 0.7 | 1.5 | 38.6 |
| Saskatchewan | 319,900 | 8.4 | 77,500 | 43.0 | 0.6 | 2.2 | 38.0 |
| Manitoba | 276,000 | 10.7 | 68,500 | 39.3 | 2.2 | 3.1 | 37.7 |
| Ontario | 393,000 | 9.8 | 93,500 | 47.4 | 2.6 | 4.0 | 43.7 |
| Quebec | 263,100 | 12.3 | 64,000 | 43.7 | 1.6 | 4.5 | 38.8 |
| Atlantic | 224,000 | 6.5 | 58,000 | 37.8 | 1.5 | 2.1 | 38.1 |
| Toronto | 564,600 | 10.7 | 126,600 | 60.0 | 3.1 | 5.9 | 53.4 |
| Montreal | 331,400 | 9.5 | 77,900 | 53.3 | 1.9 | 4.9 | 41.6 |
| Vancouver | 768,700 | 14.3 | 156,700 | 82.6 | 2.9 | 11.2 | 62.4 |
| Ottawa | 358,600 | 12.7 | 90,600 | 43.0 | 3.5 | 4.3 | 39.0 |
| Calgary | 422,100 | 5.5 | 91,600 | 40.2 | -0.1 | 1.8 | 40.3 |
| Edmonton | 373,600 | 8.1 | 86,400 | 39.0 | 1.2 | 2.3 | 37.0 |
Detached bungalow
| Average Price | Qualifying Income ($) | RBC Housing Affordability Measure | |||||
| Region | Q2 2010 ($) | Y/Y % ch. | Q2 2010 | Q2 2010 (%) | Q/Q Ppt. ch. | Y/Y Ppt. ch. | Avg. since ’85 (%) |
| Canada* | 330,000 | 10.8 | 76,000 | 42.9 | 1.9 | 4.0 | 39.0 |
| British Columbia | 561,600 | 15.4 | 116,700 | 63.8 | 1.7 | 8.8 | 48.8 |
| Alberta | 347,900 | 5.2 | 77,900 | 34.3 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 36.1 |
| Saskatchewan | 313,100 | 6.4 | 73,600 | 40.8 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 36.6 |
| Manitoba | 249,500 | 10.0 | 62,800 | 36.0 | 0.8 | 2.7 | 36.8 |
| Ontario | 342,200 | 10.3 | 81,200 | 41.2 | 2.3 | 3.6 | 40.1 |
| Quebec | 221,100 | 11.6 | 53,500 | 36.5 | 1.3 | 3.7 | 32.9 |
| Atlantic | 196,000 | 4.5 | 49,700 | 32.4 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 31.6 |
| Toronto | 472,800 | 10.9 | 105,900 | 50.2 | 2.4 | 5.0 | 48.2 |
| Montreal | 267,200 | 11.0 | 63,200 | 43.2 | 1.8 | 4.3 | 36.8 |
| Vancouver | 688,600 | 18.0 | 140,500 | 74.0 | 1.7 | 11.7 | 57.2 |
| Ottawa | 354,100 | 11.7 | 86,800 | 41.2 | 3.6 | 4.0 | 36.6 |
| Calgary | 420,000 | 4.6 | 89,200 | 39.2 | 0.9 | 1.6 | 39.9 |
| Edmonton | 335,700 | 9.6 | 77,000 | 34.7 | 2.5 | 2.4 | 33.9 |
Source: RBC Quarterly Housing Affordability Study
CAAMP Stats September 2010
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CAAMP Stats for August 2010
Below is the August 2010 Issue of CAAMP Stats.
To find out more about CAAMP, please visit www.caamp.org
Bank of Canada Interest Rate
| June 1, 2010 | 0.50 % |
| July 20, 2010 | 0.75 % |
| September 8, 2010 | Next meeting date |
Source: Bank of Canada
Bank Prime Lending Rate
| June 2, 2010 | 2.50 % |
| July 21, 2010 | 2.75 % |
| September 9, 2010 | Next meeting date |
Source: Bank of Canada
Conventional Mortgage – 5 Year Rate*
| June 16, 2010 | 5.99 % |
| July 5, 2010 | 5.89 % |
| July 14, 2010 | 5.79 % |
Source: Bank of Canada
*Determinant for high ratio mortgage variable qualifying rate
US Federal Reserve Board Discount Rate
| April 28, 2010 | 0.00 % – 0.25 % |
| June 23, 2010 | 0.00 % – 0.25 % |
| August 10, 2010 | Next Meeting date |
Source: US Federal Reserve
Exchange Rate $CDN($US)
| June 28, 2010 | 0.9654 |
| July 13, 2010 | 0.9731 |
| July 27, 2010 | 0.9651 |
Source: Bank of Canada
Government of Canada Bonds
| Bond Type | June 23, 2010 | July 14, 2010 | July 28, 2010 |
| 1 year Treasury Bill | 1.17% | 1.18% | 1.17% |
| 3 year Benchmark Bond Yield |
1.99% | 1.93% | 1.82% |
| 5 year Benchmark Bond Yield |
2.53% | 2.54% | 2.44% |
| 10 year Benchmark Bond Yield |
3.23% | 3.26% | 3.22% |
Source: Bank of Canada
Total New Housing Starts (Seasonally adjusted and annualized)
| Province | April 2010 |
April 2009 |
May 2010 |
May 2009 |
June 2010 |
June 2009 |
| Newfoundland/Labrador | 5,400 | 2,800 | 4,500 | 2,700 | 4,600 | 2,900 |
| PEI | 1,100 | 500 | 1,500 | 800 | 1,100 | 1,000 |
| Nova Scotia | 4,000 | 2,500 | 6,100 | 3,000 | 3,200 | 2,700 |
| New Brunswick | 6,200 | 4,200 | 4,500 | 4,000 | 4,700 | 3,300 |
| Quebec | 52,900 | 41,100 | 50,700 | 42,200 | 54,200 | 37,900 |
| Ontario | 65,400 | 36,300 | 66,700 | 43,800 | 56,200 | 45,800 |
| Manitoba | 7,400 | 3,100 | 5,000 | 3,300 | 8,200 | 5,000 |
| Saskatchewan | 5,700 | 2,900 | 4,400 | 4,900 | 6,300 | 5,100 |
| Alberta | 29,700 | 12,400 | 29,700 | 12,400 | 27,200 | 20,000 |
| British Columbia | 28,500 | 11,700 | 25,800 | 11,200 | 27,100 | 14,100 |
| CANADA | 206,300 | 117,600 | 198,900 | 128,400 | 192,800 | 137,800 |
Source: CMHC Housing Now – July 2010 and July 2009. This seasonally adjusted data goes through stages of revision at different times of the the year.
Average MLS® Resale Price for Local Markets
| City | June 2009 | June 2010 |
| Halifax | $240,093 | $262,992 |
| Saint John | $172,731 | $175,123 |
| Quebec | $218,104 | $237,530 |
| Montreal | $276,291 | $307,403 |
| Ottawa | $307,793 | $328,238 |
| Toronto | $403,918 | $435,064 |
| Hamilton/Burlington | $297,117 | $314,189 |
| Winnipeg | $212,592 | $233,567 |
| Saskatoon | $276,867 | $295,963 |
| Calgary | $392,601 | $415,431 |
| Edmonton | $328,285 | $335,271 |
| Vancouver | $575,949 | $657,934 |
| Victoria | $476,686 | $511,498 |
Source: Canadian Real Estate Association
Quarterly Housing Price Index
Detached Bungalows
| Market | Q2 2010 Average | Last Quarter Average | Q2 2009 Average | Bungalow % Change |
| Halifax | 250,333 | 246,833 | 235,333 | 6.4% |
| Charlottetown | 162,000 | 162,000 | 160,000 | 1.3% |
| Moncton | 150,760 | 158,200 | 158,000 | -4.6% |
| Fredericton | 182,000 | 182,000 | 172,000 | 5.8% |
| Saint John | 195,000 | 228,000 | 201,476 | -3.2% |
| St. John’s | 238,333 | 228,025 | 200,000 | 19.2% |
| Montreal | 255,906 | 248,613 | 235,523 | 8.7% |
| Ottawa | 352,917 | 326,667 | 325,417 | 8.5% |
| Toronto | 481,933 | 477,867 | 432,433 | 11.4% |
| Winnipeg | 261,625 | 259,313 | 237,750 | 10.0% |
| Regina | 282,000 | 278,125 | 272,900 | 3.3% |
| Saskatoon | 331,250 | 328,250 | 312,250 | 6.1% |
| Calgary | 419,978 | 419,433 | 401,600 | 4.6% |
| Edmonton | 320,857 | 302,857 | 302,143 | 6.2% |
| Vancouver | 905,000 | 906,045 | 760,000 | 19.1% |
| Victoria | 520,000 | 511,400 | 466,000 | 11.6% |
| National | 331,868 | 328,977 | 304,552 | 9.0% |
Standard Two-Storey
| Market | Q2 2010 Average | Last Quarter Average | Q2 2009 Average | 2 Storey % Change |
| Halifax | 287,167 | 278,267 | 277,333 | 3.5% |
| Charlottetown | 196,000 | 196,000 | 190,000 | 3.2% |
| Moncton | 139,300 | 137,250 | 134,200 | 3.8% |
| Fredericton | 205,000 | 205,000 | 210,000 | -2.4% |
| Saint John | 270,000 | 299,000 | 268,000 | 0.7% |
| St. John’s | 330,000 | 313,775 | 276,000 | 19.6% |
| Montreal | 357,833 | 350,667 | 332,917 | 7.5% |
| Ottawa | 353,083 | 346,833 | 325,417 | 8.5% |
| Toronto | 589,857 | 577,810 | 533,748 | 10.5% |
| Winnipeg | 293,875 | 277,357 | 265,050 | 10.9% |
| Regina | 259,500 | 267,000 | 245,000 | 5.9% |
| Saskatoon | 355,500 | 366,250 | 337,250 | 5.4% |
| Calgary | 422,078 | 432,178 | 400,167 | 5.5% |
| Edmonton | 347,914 | 343,571 | 328,571 | 5.9% |
| Vancouver | 995,250 | 987,500 | 846,000 | 17.6% |
| Victoria | 483,000 | 475,000 | 446,000 | 8.3% |
| National | 367,835 | 365,842 | 338,478 | 8.7% |
Source: RBC Quarterly Housing Affordability Study
Canadian mortgage market can manage risks
New research using data collected by the Canadian Association of Accredited Mortgage Professionals (CAAMP) from its corporate members strongly suggests that Canadian mortgage lenders and borrowers, including first time home buyers, are being extremely prudent with their borrowing and lending.
Last month, CAAMP surveyed members who issued more than 40,000 mortgage loans totalling $10 billion, which were funded during 2009 (the data is for home purchases only and excludes renewals or refinances of existing mortgages). The dataset represents about one-sixth of total mortgage activity for home purchases in Canada. The research is published in a report titled Revisiting the Mortgage Market – risk is small and contained.
Key findings include:
- 86 per cent of these home buyers chose fixed rate mortgages. This share fell late in the year as variable rates became more attractive (at 2.25 percent compared to 4 percent for fixed rates)
- Among borrowers who chose fixed rates, a significant number opted for longer terms – less than 5 per cent chose terms of two years or less. 20 percent took three year terms, 5 per cent four years, leaving 70 percent with a fixed rate for five years or more
- The vast majority of people who took out their first mortgage last year borrowed less than they could afford to, as their Gross Debt Service (“GDS”) ratios are far below allowed maximums, even at the higher interest rates that are used to qualifying them for their mortgage
- The high share of fixed rate mortgages and low GDS ratios for home buyers are contrary to perceptions that consumers and financial institutions are taking on more risk
Jim Murphy, AMP, President and CEO of CAAMP, said:
“This new research shows that Canadians are assessing their abilities and vulnerabilities,”
“They are being prudent and the vast majority of Canadian mortgage borrowers are not taking on undue risks. They have factored rising interest rates in to their mortgage decisions.”
Will Dunning, CAAMP Chief Economist and author of this new report said that a small minority of homebuyers are cutting it close when it comes to affordability.
He stressed that:
“this dataset is primarily focused on first-time homebuyers who are considered to be most at risk. Each year, about 2.5 to 3 per cent of Canadian households make a first-time home purchase. Our data shows that only a small percentage of them are pushing-the-envelope – about 4,000 households which amounts to a tiny fraction of the 13.25 million homeowners in Canada. For those who borrowed in prior years, risks are even lower.”
Speaking to the stress tests conducted by CAAMP, Dunning said that
“the bottom line from the simulations is that even though mortgage payments will probably rise for most borrowers, the increase in their incomes will more than offset the higher payments. All in all, the degree of risk from rising mortgage rates appears to be small and manageable.”
You can Download the Report here.